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Stewart
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By most accounts, the surge in Iraq is working. Opposing it now to deprive GWB and America a very possible victory is anti-freedom and un-American.


Reports are coming in from various sources regarding the success of the surge in Iraq. Even those who had previously opposed it are admitting that it is working, and that an independent and free Iraq is now a real possibility.

But there are still those who adamantly refuse to accept these accounts. They have declared the surge a failure, and seem unwilling to let the facts get in their way.

Why?

I believe that they are more interested in denying President Bush any success whatsoever, even if it also means that they would deny Iraq the chance for freedom and independence, and decrease the possibility of stability in the middle east.

To sacrifice the freedom of another nation on the alter of partisan politics is reprehensible. To place one's hatred of George Bush above the chance for the freedom-loving people of Iraq to establish a democracy should be condemned by all who cherish liberty.

If the surge is working, do we not owe it to the very concepts on which our nation is founded to proceed in the direction which offers the greatest chance for the advance of freedom?

Hate Bush all you want, but don't impede the expansion of liberty.


It's all about being relative. Are things better than they were 6 months ago? Statistically, there are fewer Americans being killed, yes.

That doesn't take into account that no Americans were dying there before an ill-conceived invasion.

I can hardly see how things going from "really bad" to "pretty bad" can be called progress. Things are not so good in Iraq that people can walk outside their homes without the fear of being gunned down by any of the following:

1) Islamic extremists pushing their will on the Iraqi people
2) Factional Iraqi sects warring within the country
3) Trigger-happy American security contractors

The fact remains that progress can only be achieved when we stop measuring progress in "deaths per day." That morbid metric proves that any "victory" is still a long way off.

Finally, the "surge" in troops has done very little to quell the actual violence going on. Instead, the change in policy to work with the local clerics and tribes in security arrangements has been the greatest factor in the statistical reduction thus far. That is the beginnings of a graceful exit for the American soldiers: handing this power to the locals and letting them sort out things.


The issue isn???t whether the original mission was ill-conceived. I agree it was. The issue is this: If the surge is indeed working, what should we do?
Even according to reports from liberals, the surge is working:
Attacks on Americans are down
Attacks on civilians are down
Baghdad is almost completely secure, and life there is returning to normal
Formerly insurgent-controlled provinces will soon be handed over to the Iraqis (Anbar will be the first)

?? Al Qaeda in Iraq has been at least neutralized, if not destroyed

?? Bloodshed has been dramatically reduced



These are good things, and if they are true we should not be afraid to acknowledge that truth; neither should we fear continuing to move in a positive direction.



Going from ???really bad??? to ???pretty bad??? is indeed progress. Austhus, surely, you don???t require that things go from ???really bad??? to ???great??? before you grant that progress has been made, do you? ???Deaths per day??? is a very relevant factor in assessing improvement, and doesn???t prove that ???victory is a long way off.??? It proves that fewer people are dying, and that???s a good thing.



To acknowledge that


Alright, I can see some points of your argument. Violence has gone down since the beginning of the surge, and while I still disagree with measuring success by body count, the relative decrease is a statistical fact which cannot be argued against.

However, I will take issue with the premise of your argument that this surge will lead to victory. Denying the surge is not inherently a denial of the reduction of violence. However, it is acknowledging these surge tactics will not solely lead to any realistic victory as they stand alone. Bush and Co.'s argument is surge=victory.

Everyone in the field, however, acknowledges several factors leading to this reduction, and not all of them are surge related. Therefore, most people you reference are not denying the "progress" since the surge started, just that the surge tactics are not the only tactic being used to achieve these gains.

Finally, and this is a sore point, reports today suggest these "surge" combat troops will actually be serving longer, extended tours. So instead of a surge, we end up with a simple military buildup with no plan for troop reduction.


My apologies for the delay and for the mis-post of my 2nd entry. Please scroll down to see the entire post in the Comments section.

I think you really missed my point, Austhus. I didn't say that the surge would necessarily lead to victory. I said that opposing the surge, if the motivation for that opposition was merely to deny us a possible victory, works against the forces of liberty and thus runs counter to American interests. Neither did I say that the surge alone is enough for victory. My argument went only to the motive of those for whom Iraqi freedom takes a back seat to the joy of denying our country and our president a victory. My initial statement also was not dependent upon tour length or plans for troop reduction. I think you've gotten sidetracked here.

The only argument I'm making is that if it's more important to us that we deprive GWB of whatever victory the surge may provide than it is that the people of Iraq be given the reasonable chance of liberty that the surge, at this point, seems to represent, then we really are not working for freedom - and we haven't put people, or freedom, first.

8 months remaining for the next argument...

Comments

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Richardson

Against simply because of this line, "America a very possible victory is anti-freedom and un-American."

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Huckabee-button

I think the progress is measured when the Iraqi gov't issues measures and laws. I think it's measured when there are less of our men and women dying. Austhus, you're dumb. You go on and on about how we can't measure progress in terms of numbers of us dying, but then you say that we have had too many people die. It's Un-american to not support our people over there, i.e. "trigger happy american security contractors"

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Stewart

I'd say it's un-American not to question what's going on over there and blindly accepting the PR lines from the Administration. I will support our troops the best way I know how: getting them home and out of the line of fire. Also, recognize there's a huge difference between our military forces and the paid security contractors, IE Blackwater.

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Vote

How much of the success of the Surge can we also attribute to the ceasefire of Moqtada Al-Sadr and his Mahdi Army? It is interesting how much those individuals who believe the Surge is working seem to forget that one of our staunchest opponents in the country, both strategically and ideologically, has temporarily taken himself and his fighters out of the conflict. Swdowning, can you please explain why you are not taking account for this?

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Fdr

'Trigger happy American contractors' are not 'our' people over there, Irish. They are paid mercenaries whose company has a dangerously large army of their own on American soil. Also, how is wanted the war to end and to bring our troops home un-American? We want our soldiers to stop dying in a needless war, so somehow we're not supporting them? I fail to see the logic in that argument, but what do I expect from someone who uses 'you're dumb' as their main talking point.

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Fighting

I guess swdowning's argument relies on the belief that a significant percentage of those who want to end the war only want to do so for the purpose of, "...denying President Bush any success whatsoever." Downing, how have you come to the conclusion that a significant percentage of anti-war people are more concerned with making Bush look bad (like he needs any help) rather than out of concern for our country's diplomatic stature, and the lives of our soldiers? Do you have any basis for that? I think you should provide it if you want any serious consideration for your argument.

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Neutral

Hey, all - an inadvertent TAB posted my second argument prematurely. Could someone give me some advice on how to get what I wanted to say posted correctly? Many thanks - Sam

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Stewart

Just post the rest of your argument down here... I'll politely wait for the rest of your reply until I get the full argument... although the one up there was certainly pushing the word limit.

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Neutral

Thanks. Here's the full text: The issue isn't whether the original mission was ill-conceived. I agree it was. The issue is this: If the surge is indeed working, what should we do? Even according to reports from liberals, the surge is working: Attacks on Americans are down Attacks on civilians are down Baghdad is almost completely secure, and life there is returning to normal Formerly insurgent-controlled provinces will soon be handed over to the Iraqis (Anbar will be the first) Al Qaeda in Iraq has been at least neutralized, if not destroyed Bloodshed has been dramatically reduced These are good things, and if they are true we should not be afraid to acknowledge that truth; neither should we fear continuing to move in a positive direction. Going from "really bad" to "pretty bad" is indeed progress. Austhus, surely you don't require that things go from "really bad" to "great" before you grant that progress has been made, do you? "Deaths per day" is a very relevant factor in assessing improvement, and doesn't prove that "victory is a long way off." It proves that fewer people are dying, and that's a good thing. To acknowledge that the proud, purple-fingered people of Iraq are better off today than they were six months ago is worth even the horrific disgrace of giving them, and us, and in fact our president, a well-deserved victory. Credit where it's due. End. Thanks again. S_

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Obama

It pains me to take the conservative stance here against an excellent debater, but the objective of the surge was to decrease violence, and that, coupled with said local relations, does in fact seem to have helped. The objective was, quite concretely, to lower violence, and it has in fact done that. Good tactic in a bad war, but it's still a good tactic.

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Hat

i do think that is a motive with some people, but not with enough people to really be a factor or worth debate.

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Stewart

Thank you for the compliment, AD.. I think. I'm hoping to finish out some of my other debates soon, although a lot of that depends on when the other debater signs on. I'm hoping sooner rather than later.

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Neutral

The objective was to lower violence "for the purpose of political reconciliation" That has not happened So, basically we're there to prevent them from having or continuing a civil war. At this point in this economy , we can't continue for over 100 billion a year to make sure they play nice in the sandbox. We have our own things at home (mortgage crises, recession etc). I am so tired of this war. A mistake doesn't become a great idea because we continue it . If the region or Europe or ANYONE thinks Iran will take over then maybe THEY will get involved and start helping . Until then I say get out and get out soon

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Neutral

I disagree with this war to start. But I don't want to get out just to embarrass Bush. He needs no help with that. I wish we could "win" but we can't. Only the Iraqi people can decide what kind of country they want. The truth is you can't stop another country from having a civil war. We cannot financially sustain the effort we have now . We just can't. I don't think we've gained on thing as a country from being there. We're not more secure. In a way this whole entaglement in Iraq is exactly what Bin Ladin wanted. His origianl goal for 9/11 was to bankrupt America . I'd say he is winning that one .

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Donkey

How can the U.S. "win" an occupation of a sovereign nation? What would "victory" look like? Al-Queda is now strong in Iraq, and it didn't exist there before we invaded. Meanwhile, the Saudis keep fostering terrorism, but they're our allies. This whole thing is absurd.

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Neutral

Burro - I would define "victory" as turning over to the new Iraqi government (however it finally shakes out) control of a secure Iraq that it can maintain as it continues to define its sense of democracy, removing our forces, establishing mutually beneficial diplomatic and economic relations, and reaping the benefits of a more stable middle-east. The first step in this is securing areas currently controlled by insurgents, and reducing the body count. The surge is doing this, so it's moving in the right direction. Removing all U.S. troops immediately, if it were possible (which it isn't due to time factors), would ensure civil war and increased insurgent control, freedom's rollback, and a less stable middle-east.

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Goldwater

I have a feeling that a lot of the votes for Austhus have nothing to do with what he said, and more to do with anti-Bush sentiment. I believe that is a poor way to judge a debate. You guys may disagree with the premise of swdowning's argument, but you should be fair and judge based off of who did a better job of arguing their point. Austhus is a fine debator, but I do believe that swdowning won this debate. I think it is sad that many on this board are unable to differentiate between their opinion and the actual debate.

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Neutral

Thanks, Consequentialist. I was sort of getting the same impression on this one, although I've generally been very impressed with the ability of those who weigh in to separate personal bias from their commitment to judge an argument on its merits, and to adhere to the original point. I'm not really sure what happened in this case. And yes, Austhus is a powerful debater. I'd like to think that this remains a forum in which one's ability to support the stated premise is more important than the fact that aspects of that premise might be politically abrasive to some on the panel. I'd like to think that those who have so far voted against me would feel free to switch their votes because I have well supported my original tenet, without fear that they are casting a vote for the surge. That's never been my point. My point depends upon a conditional set of circumstances that, if true, will have to be addressed by President Obama, or President Clinton, or President McCain.

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Neutral

Not that I really mind, but why does Austhus have, at the time this is written, seven days to respond? And why did he have six days yesterday? Again, not that it really matters, but who's minding the store?

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