LiveforReason said 02/28, 10:56 AM
John McCain's unarguable strength in this campaign is foreign policy and the war on terror. As a war hero and the candidate with the most political experience, McCain has consistenty immersed himself in foreign policy issues. Ask nearly any voter, John McCain is the candidate that gives them the most comforting feeling in the face of terrorism.
However, American public attention has drifted away from the war on terror, focusing more on the economy. Under these circumstances and the general public opinion on Iraq, the Democrats have a significant chance of winning in November. A terrorist attack on the US would completely alter the political climate in the favor of John McCain.
McCain would easily be able to unite the country in the face of extremism. He would use the attack to "remind" the American people that the struggle against terrorism is not over and we need to continue. Neither Barack Obama, nor Hillary Cliton would be able to offer a solution, based on their previous policies, that would sit well with the American people. Because of his strong stance on terror and military experience, the American people would prefer John McCain, following an attack on the US.
Mortarpkt said 02/28, 11:57 AM
The problem with this line of logic is that John McCain and the Bush White House are claiming that the Republican Party is stronger against terrorism because there has not been an attack on America since 9-11. While I believe their logic is flawed, that has been their mantra. So lets examine where a potential terrorist attack would come from.
First assume that the theoretical attack comes from Al-Quida and is planned by our most famous enemy Osama Bin Ladin. In that event the American People will not forgive the Republican Party for taking its eye off the ball in Afganistan. John McCain will lose do to his support for the war in Iraq.
Now assume that the theoretical attack comes from within Iraq. The American people know at this point that there was no "Al-Quida in Iraq" until we invaded Iraq. By invading we actually created the risk we are now fighting in Iraq. The American people will not forgive the Republicans for invading Iraq. John McCain will once again lose do to his support for the war in Iraq.
Barack Obama is not against the "War on Terror" he simply wants to fight it with a stronger more focused approach.
LiveforReason said 02/28, 04:42 PM
During a presedential race, one thing has been proven time and again. Being able to communicate one's policy and connect with the voters, can be more important than the policy itself.
After the terrorist attack, voters would look for immeadiate, noncomplex responses. They will know John McCain has taken the hardest stance in the war on terror and the war in Iraq. It would be a simpler task for McCain to deliver his message of seeking out the terrorists responsible and protecting America, than it would be for either Democrat.
It would be diffuicult Obama or Clinton to convince the GENERAL voter that they are more capable of handling terrorism than John McCain. Regardless of the strategy involved, they will be unable to convey their "strength" on level of McCain.
McCain has separated himself sufficiently from Bush to prove that he is the more compentent decision maker. McCain was against the Rumsfeld strategey which was a complete failiure, but was for the Surge which many incdicators show has had significant success.
All of these factors would allow McCain to portay himself as the courageous, compentent, war hero who would be the best leader in the face of terrorism
Mortarpkt said 02/29, 01:26 AM
I certainly agree that a candidate's ability to connect with the voters is often more important than policy disputes. However, this arguement would seem to support Barack Obama not John McCain. Barack Obama has formed a real connection with his voters. He has secured his base and has real strength amongst independents. He also has real draw amongst moderate Republicans. John McCain has not yet secured his base and will lose much of his independent appeal in his attempt to secure the neo-cons.
Furthermore, Americans gave George W. a pass on liability for 9-11 because it happened so soon after he started his first term. However, at this point the threat of radical extremists is a dinner table conversations. If an attack is successful Americans are sure to ask "how did this happen?" and they will want answers. John McCain will not be able to blame the Democrats because George Bush has been pressing for the last four years that his tactics have kept us safe.
Finally as for strength, John McCain is an American Hero. However, he would also be the also the oldest person to begin a first term in American History. He hardly screams strength.
LiveforReason said 03/05, 10:35 AM
As of now Obama, has had a true connection with the voters. However, in the event of a terrorist attack the playing field will completely alter, giving John McCain the advantage.
He would have the the opportunity to truly sell his foreign policy and military experience with the voters. McCain would have no difficulty at all connecting with the voters, who would be looking for a leader who makes them feel comfortable and secure. This connection would be much easier more McCain to achieve than Obama or Clinton.
In addition, a terrorist attack would allow John McCain to unite his Republican and conservative base, without pandering too far to the right. This would prevent him from alienating any independent voters, with whom he already has strong appeal. As a consequence, he would have a coalition of independent and conservative voters for November. No Democrat would be able to beat this group, even if the Democratic base were completely unified.
A terrorist attack would unarguably play into John McCain's strength. His foreign policy, experience, and personality would convince voters that he would be most able to counter the growing front of terrorism in to world.
The G.O.P. has long held the advantage when it comes to making American's "feel safe". Given its recent bungling however, I dont think the Republican party appears stronger on foreign policy generally. Yet when it comes to physical violence perpetrated on the U.S., I think the G.O.P's general promise of resolute war making and reprisal could easily win the day again. Forget all the nuance about how specifically Iraq/Afghanistan have been mismanaged. When things start blowing up, the people will put McCain into office. Its a double-whammy;he is a Republican AND he has his own personal aura of military authority. Fear in the wake of an attack would turn this race on its head
P.F.C. Wintergreen | 02/28/08
Report Offensive CommentI think it would more than likely be blamed on Republican bungling and give the democrats a lock.
Eveas | 02/28/08
Report Offensive CommentI really can't see why the Republilcans with John McCain are that much more qualified to deal with terrorists. The Commander-in-Chief's ability to gather information, and form an action plan that takes into account the results of the plan's implementation. This requires a varied life experience, not just political or military experience. Electing a candidate with strong military leanings gives us a president who often looks at the world through the military lens of his experience. A candidate, with broader lilfe experience, should see more political and economic options and thus keep us safer from attack.
horsefeathers12 | 02/28/08
Report Offensive CommentUnfortunately, this would be the case. Horsefeathers makes some great points though.
Antioxidant Overdose | 02/28/08
Report Offensive CommentActually, throughout history military men who later move to politics are notoriously anti-war whenever possible. Why do you think democrats have over 4 times the vets in congress the republicans do? Those who know war seek to avoid it. This is one of the reasons McCain is anti-torture. He has seen it and doesn't like it. It is true in this case he supports the war, but it is unfair to say military leanings make them look through a military lens. That is typically the exact opposite of what usually happens.
Eveas | 02/28/08
Report Offensive CommentI would have to disagree with LiveForReason on one point. Obama does not currently have a true connection with the voters. He's losing it quite well as Hillary's campaign brings up more dirt on him and that pastor won't shut up. Otherwise, Live has very sound points in this. McCain '08
KittyCatRep | 05/06/08
Report Offensive CommentPlease keep it clean. Bad words will get filtered, and offensive comments will be removed.
I want to believe Mortar. I really do. I had that kind of optimism for the intelligence of the American people back in '04. Then reality struck again. I'll hold my vote for now, but I need a stronger argument from Mortar before I can send my vote his way.
Austhus | 02/28/08
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